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Risk Warnings


Derivatives Abuse
Options can be bad for your wealth if they lead to gambling, where, by defini¬tion, the odds are stacked against you, as distinct from the calculated risks of speculation.

The scandals are few but big. There is no doubt that determined individuals can always find a way to abuse derivatives. It is by now well documented how trader Nick Leeson took huge risks on derivatives and brought down Barings, the investment bank where he worked.

Leeson was the star trader and general manager in the bank’s Singapore office and, as it turned out, he was inadequately supervised. The 28-year-old’s trading strategy was based on arbitrage, which was to profit from price differentials between the same strategies on different markets.


In January 1995, Leeson started writing Put and Call options on the Nikkei 225 index at the same exercise price. It created a straddle and Barings would keep the premiums only if the index stayed within the 19,000-21,000 trading range. Chance dictated otherwise and, when on 17 January Kobe and Osaka were hit by a huge earthquake, the Nikkei 225 fell too far. On 23 January, it had dipped to 17,950.

Leeson started buying March and June 95 futures contracts, which were a bet on an improvement in the market. It was another gamble that went wrong. The Nikkei 225 deteriorated further, and eventually Barings had lost more than £800 million, which was more than its capital, and in 1995, it collapsed.

The event triggered consideration of the Bank of England’s role of supervising banks, which was later transferred to the Financial Services Authority. The Bank has retained responsibility for the stability of the banking system.

It is such events that have led to a public perception, fuelled by the media, that derivatives are dangerous. Warren Buffett, considered the world’s greatest stock market investor, has called derivatives ‘weapons of mass destruction’. City professionals unsurprisingly take a more lenient view and note that hedging through derivatives reduces rather than creates risk.

 
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