You can pull ratios from figures in the accounts,
or you can find them made up for you in any newspaper
or on financial websites and software. They enable
you to value companies on fundamentals against
their own past and their peers. But if the same
ratio for two companies was calculated differently,
the differences must be reconciled to make a like-for-like
comparison. Let us now look at some key ratios.
Earnings per share
The earnings per share (EPS) is a measure of the
company’s profitability. It is the profit
attributable to the ordinary shareholders (ie
profit before ordinary dividends) divided by the
number of ordinary shares in issue during the
year. The City looks for an EPS that rises steadily,
even if slowly, year by year, and rewards companies
that can demonstrate it.
Listed companies are required to disclose two
measures of EPS, basic and diluted, on the front
of the profit & loss account. The diluted
EPS figure adjusts the basic EPS figure to show
what the result would have been had all potential
ordinary shares (such as employee share options
and convertible debt) been converted into shares.
Companies can also provide an adjusted EPS figure
but in the notes to the accounts and not on the
face of the profit & loss account. The adjusted
figure may show earnings before items that the
directors prefer to exclude.
Price/earnings ratio
The price/earnings ratio is the share price divided
by earnings per share. It is how the market rates
a stock and shows how many years it will take
the company, at the applicable rate of earnings,
to earn the equivalent to its market value.
If the company’s P/E ratio is low compared
with that of its peers, the shares are looking
cheap. They could be good value, but are very
likely to be depressed for a reason.
If the company’s P/E ratio is high compared
with that of its peers, the shares are looking
expensive, but it could be for a good reason.
The historic P/E is listed in the newspapers and,
to find the sector and market averages for comparison
purposes, you should look at the FT’s Actuaries
Share Indices (The UK Series) in Monday’s
Financial Times.
The prospective P/E is more up to date than the
historic figure because it is based on the future
analysts’ earnings forecasts, but is also
less reliable because they can be wrong.
The P/E ratio can tell you something about the
broader market. In the five years to mid-2006,
the P/E ratio steadily fell in Britain but French
and German P/E ratios ended up slightly higher,
according to analysts. The Times said in a leading
article on 3 July 2006 that a growing gap between
the UK and its European competitors had to raise
serious questions about how the market was judging
the British economy.
The P/E ratio has limitations. It does not take
account of a company’s earnings growth,
which is important for small companies.
A PEG to hang your valuation
on
The price/earnings growth ratio, known as PEG,
redresses the balance by combining an assessment
of growth with the P/E ratio, and is used to value
small growth companies. The ratio is calculated,
either on an historical or prospective basis,
as the P/E ratio divided by the average growth
rate of earnings per share.
Investment guru Jim Slater has advocated a PEG
of well under 1 as a criterion for selecting growth.
If a company has a prospective P/E ratio of 10
and earnings per share growth of 20 per cent,
the PEG ratio is 10 divided by 20, which is 0.5
and, on Slater’s criterion, very attractive.
A stock with a prospective P/E of 30 and earnings
per share growth of 15 is on a PEG of 2, which
he finds too high.
Net assets
To value property companies, investment trusts
or composite insurers, use the share price/net
asset value (NAV) per share. This is the company’s
total assets less its liabilities, debentures
and loan stocks, divided by the number of shares
in issue.
If a company is trading on a low share price/NAV,
it may be a bargain, or have problems that are
not easily resolvable and that make it a poor
investment.
Check how the net asset figure is made up. Properties
historically valued on the balance sheet may be
worth more because of subsequent capital gains.
Machinery may be valued too low owing to a conservative
depreciation policy. |