A new issue of shares takes place when a company is
floated on the stock market. Subsequently, the company’s
shares are traded on what is known as the secondary
market.
Pricing
Even if you are investing in a good company at issue,
this is not enough in itself for you to make a profit.
The price must be right.
The key point is that a new issue of shares is priced
according to demand. In a bull market, where institutional
investors are competing for shares in every hot new
issue almost regardless of its quality, the price
can be much higher than the company’s fundamental
value. But it is the best time to buy and sell new
issues at a profit. In a bear market the price can
be lower, which may prove a bargain in the medium
or long term, but not necessarily.
The syndicate
The investment bank or broker organizing the deal
is known as book runner and sometimes global coordinator.
It sets the price and manages distribution of the
shares. The job of book runner is sought after, and
the fees are often high. Banks compete for this role
by making formal presentations to the issuing company.
It is quaintly termed a beauty parade.
In a large new issue of shares, two banks are often
appointed as joint global coordinators and joint book
runners. The book runner will probably have a track
record of floating similar companies and a good understanding
of the business.
The fees charged are a factor in winning the business
but are rarely the priority. Most IPOs and secondary
placings are handled by banks that have a corporate
relationship with the issuing company, according to
research from investment bankers.
The bank that wins the mandate may have expertise
in the company’s sector or a special relationship
with its country of origin. But any conflict of interests
will rule out an appointment.
The chosen book runner appoints a syndicate of banks
to help place stock with institutions and private
clients, and announces an overall fee structure. In
the syndicate there may be one local bank that typically
handles private clients (known as retail). The other
banks will probably sell mainly to institutions, but
there is no fixed rule. Every bank in the syndicate
is given a prestigious title such as co-lead manager
or co-manager.
Pre-marketing
Next comes the pre-marketing phase of the deal, where
banks meet with institutional investors to assess
demand for the shares. The book runner accordingly
sets an indicative price range to provide perimeters
within which the new issue will be priced. The bank
often makes this range public.
Valuations
Once they know the price range, analysts can put forward
a valuation on the company to be listed, based on
respective issue prices at the lower, mid and upper
end of the range. Financial journalists may report
analysts’ valuations and provide critical comment.
Nothing is definitive until the deal is actually priced,
owing to the following three factors:
In practice
In June 2006, the certainties became apparent after
global stock markets had declined sharply although,
as it turned out, temporarily, in value. Standard
Life, the mutual life insurer, was one company that
cut the price range on its flotation, and many planned
share issues were cancelled.
Demand creation
The price range in any deal plays a crucial role in
attracting institutional investor demand for the shares.
If the book runner values an issue low enough in setting
the range and, ultimately, the price, it encourages
over-subscription.
In a bull market, over-subscription may happen anyway
because institu¬tional investors that want stock
will always apply for more than they expect to receive.
Demand for new equity issuance is created in part
through controlled release of news to the media.
This is the task of the PR agencies. Skilful PR can
mitigate the damage of adverse news but will not necessarily
remove it. There are always a few maverick journalists
who refuse to accept the company’s official
line. For more on PR and press shenanigans.
Book build
Following the pre-marketing of a deal and the setting
of a price range, the banks start to build up the
book of demand for the new issue. In a road-show lasting
two or three weeks, they present the company to institutional
investors, either in groups or, more effectively,
in one-to-ones. The road-show can extend across continental
Europe and the United States as well as the UK, and
may be supplemented by video-conferencing for countries
not visited. The road-show demands time from the company’s
chief executive, finance director and head of investor
relations, which takes them away from running the
business.
Institutional interest is fickle and can wane on adverse
company, sector or market conditions. Investors tend
to hold off their orders for shares until the last
minute. The book runner and syndicate put up with
all this uncertainty because the business, if it goes
ahead, is usually highly lucrative.
Clients
Syndicate bankers normally give priority of allocation
to institutional clients, but welcome the involvement
of private investors because they help to swell the
order book.
Private investors make a significant contribution
to holding up the com¬pany’s share price
in secondary market trading because they are less
inclined to sell out quickly. If they are involved,
banks can price the new issue higher.